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Optimising Expert Pathology Referral in Barrett's Oesophagus Dysplasia Through p53-Guided Triage: A Nationwide Real-World Cohort Study

In brief

Expert review changed 47% of Barrett's dysplasia diagnoses

In a nationwide cohort of 1,146 patients, expert review changed 46.9% of referring diagnoses, and reclassified 73.4% of cases called indefinite for dysplasia. Abnormal p53 staining helped identify diagnoses likely to stand: 91.7% of low- or high-grade dysplasia biopsies with this pattern were confirmed, supporting triage of limited expert review capacity, though prospective validation is needed.

Journal
United European gastroenterology journal (Q1)
Published
1 October 2026
Study design
Prospective / inception cohort
Evidence level
Level 2, Moderate (CEBM 2b)
Authors
Ylva A Weeda, Myrtle J van der Wel, Lodewijk A Brosens, Ariadne H A G Ooms, Hans Halfwerk, Maartje T P M Houben, et al.
PMID
42935139
DOI
10.1002/ueg2.70309

Why clinicians should know about it

  • Picked for Gastroenterology (paper of the day, 28 October 2026): Barrett dysplasia pathology review and p53-guided diagnostic triage

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Histopathological interpretation of Barrett's oesophagus-associated dysplasia remains variable, and although guidelines recommend expert pathology review, specialist capacity is increasingly constrained. We assessed the real-world diagnostic impact of national expert review and tested whether p53-IHC identifies subgroups in which review is high- or low-yield. METHODS: The Dutch Oesophageal Pathology Panel reviewed consecutive BE cases submitted from 39 hospitals (2015-2024). Digitised haematoxylin and eosin-stained and p53-IHC slides were assessed by experienced gastrointestinal pathologists. Panel diagnoses required ≥ 75% agreement or consensus meeting review. Referring and panel diagnoses were compared at the patient level, with biopsy-level analyses assessing diagnostic shifts according to referring-centre p53-IHC status (wild-type, aberrant or equivocal). RESULTS: The cohort included 1146 consecutive patients and 2187 biopsy levels, each assessed by a median of 12 panel pathologists. Expert review changed 46.9% of referring diagnoses (downgrading 24.7% and upgrading 22.2%). Indefinite for dysplasia (IND) was the most unstable diagnostic category, with 73.4% of cases reclassified. Among 1731 biopsy levels with reported p53-IHC at referral, p53-IHC strongly stratified review yield. Low-grade or high-grade dysplasia (LGD/HGD) with aberrant p53-IHC was confirmed in 91.7% of biopsy levels. In contrast, LGD/HGD with wild-type or equivocal p53-IHC showed substantially higher downgrade rates (53.6% and 32.8%), with odds ratios for diagnostic adjustment of 12.7 (95% CI: 8.2-19.7) and 5.4 (95% CI: 2.9-10.0) versus aberrant p53-IHC. CONCLUSION: Expert review substantially altered BE dysplasia diagnoses, supporting current guideline recommendations. P53-IHC markedly stratified review yield: IND and dysplasia with wild-type or equivocal p53-IHC remain high-priority categories, whereas aberrant p53-IHC dysplasia was rarely reclassified. A p53-guided triage strategy could help optimise the use of expert pathology capacity, but prospective validation is needed before clinical implementation.

Abstract as published, via PubMed.

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For healthcare professionals. The summary is generated by AI from the published abstract, and the evidence level is assigned automatically from the study design on the Oxford CEBM hierarchy. Neither is medical advice. Read the full paper before changing practice.