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Drug stock-outs in HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria programs: a systematic review

Journal
EClinicalMedicine (Q1)
Published
31 July 2026
Study design
Systematic review of cohort studies
Evidence level
Level 2, Moderate (CEBM 2a)
Authors
Avaneesh Kumar Pandey, Ritika Kondel Bhandari, Esmita Charani, Jennifer Cohn, Amrita Ghautare, Anne-Grete Märtson, et al.
PMID
42571437
DOI
10.1016/j.eclinm.2026.104119

Why clinicians should know about it

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Stock-outs of antiretroviral, anti-tuberculosis, and anti-malarial medicines remain a major challenge in low- and middle-income countries, affecting both health systems and patient outcomes. This systematic review aimed to synthesize evidence on the causes, consequences, and mitigation strategies related to these stock-outs. METHODS: A systematic search of PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Scopus was conducted for studies published between 01, January 2000 and 17, March 2026. Studies reporting stock-outs of antiretroviral or/and anti-tuberculosis or/and anti-malarial medicines were included, while those published before 2000 or focusing on other medicines were excluded. Findings were synthesized using a non-quantitative approach and heterogeneity was assessed qualitatively. The quality of the studies was evaluated using Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) critical appraisal check list. The review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42021296472). FINDINGS: Of 10,158 screened records, 56 studies were included. Key causes of stock-outs included supply chain inefficiencies, procurement delays, inadequate funding, weak governance, and poor demand forecasting. Consequences included treatment interruptions, increased drug resistance, and higher morbidity and mortality, along with increased out-of-pocket costs and emergency procurement burdens. Mitigation strategies ranged from short-term responses, such as emergency purchasing and redistribution, to long-term system strengthening, including improved procurement systems, buffer stocks, supplier diversification, and digital inventory management. INTERPRETATION: Review demonstrates that the causes of reported stock-outs in HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria programmes are largely preventable and the solutions lie in fortifying supply chain system with better forecasting robust logistics and sufficient financing. FUNDING: Wellcome trust CAMO-Net programme and Global Antibiotic Research and Development Partnership.

Abstract as published, via PubMed.

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For healthcare professionals. The summary is generated by AI from the published abstract, and the evidence level is assigned automatically from the study design on the Oxford CEBM hierarchy. Neither is medical advice. Read the full paper before changing practice.