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Plain Radiograph Use in Pediatric Blunt Trauma Patients with Suspicion for Cervical Spine Injury: A Prospective Observational Analysis of the Western Pediatric Cervical Spine Study

In brief

Plain X-ray misses only two injuries, achieving 99.9% negative predictive value in eligible children

In a prospective study of nearly 20,000 pediatric blunt-trauma patients, plain radiography was used in just 39% despite guidelines, yet in the 12,650 children who met low-risk criteria it correctly ruled out clinically significant cervical spine injury in 99.9% of cases, missing only two injuries. Expanding X-ray-first protocols could replace thousands of CT scans and sharply cut radiation exposure, though adoption varies widely across trauma centers.

Journal
Journal of the American College of Surgeons (Q1)
Published
7 August 2026
Study design
Prospective / inception cohort
Evidence level
Level 4, Very Low (CEBM 4)
Authors
Anastasia M Kahan, Hsuan-Yu Wan, R Scott Eldredge, Zachary J Kastenberg, Kezlyn E Larsen, Marshall W Wallace, et al.
PMID
42566005
DOI
10.1097/XCS.0000000000002117

Why clinicians should know about it

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Despite guideline support for plain radiography (XR) in low-risk pediatric blunt trauma, CT remains the predominant imaging modality for cervical spine evaluation, increasing radiation exposure. We evaluated contemporary XR utilization and its diagnostic performance in children meeting consensus criteria for XR-first imaging. STUDY DESIGN: We performed a prospective, multicenter observational study of 19,995 children enrolled in the Western Pediatric Cervical Spine Study across 72 U.S. trauma centers (2022-2025). Children appropriate for XR screening (Glasgow Coma Scale score >13, asymptomatic, non-obtunded) were identified using consensus criteria. XR utilization, sensitivity, and negative predictive value (NPV) were assessed, and multivariable logistic regression identified predictors of XR use. RESULTS: XR was performed in 39% of patients overall and varied significantly by trauma center type (pediatric 48% vs adult 14% vs mixed 15%; p<0.001), whereas CT was used in 60%. Among XR-appropriate children (n=12,650), an estimated 7,705 CT examinations could potentially have been replaced with XR. In the overall cohort, XR sensitivity for any cervical spine injury was 30.3% (95% CI 26.2-34.6%) with an NPV of 95.2% (95% CI 94.7-95.7%). In XR-appropriate children, only two clinically significant cervical spine injuries were missed, yielding a sensitivity of 75.0% (95% CI 34.9-96.8%) and an NPV of 99.9% (95% CI 99.9%-100.0%). CONCLUSIONS: Plain radiography is substantially underutilized in children meeting consensus criteria for XR-first imaging. In appropriately selected patients, XR demonstrated an NPV of 99.9% for clinically significant cervical spine injury, supporting broader implementation of XR-first imaging strategies to reduce CT utilization and pediatric radiation exposure.

Abstract as published, via PubMed.

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For healthcare professionals. The summary is generated by AI from the published abstract, and the evidence level is assigned automatically from the study design on the Oxford CEBM hierarchy. Neither is medical advice. Read the full paper before changing practice.