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Diagnostic reproducibility, spatial heterogeneity, and survival outcomes of HER2-Null, HER2-Ultralow, and HER2-Low categories in invasive breast carcinoma

In brief

Pathologists achieve substantial agreement (kappa ~0.73) on HER2-low breast tumors

In 125 invasive breast cancers, two blinded pathologists showed substantial concordance (weighted kappa 0.70-0.74) when classifying HER2-null, ultralow, and low using a highest-tier rule, though intra-tumor block agreement was only moderate and nodal metastases often downgraded. HER2 tiering did not affect overall survival, highlighting the need for multiple blocks and second reviews to ensure reliable patient selection for emerging HER2-targeted therapies.

Journal
Virchows Archiv : an international journal of pathology (Q1)
Published
29 August 2026
Study design
Cohort / observational study
Evidence level
Level 3, Low (CEBM 3b)
Authors
Rabia Hursitoglu, Abdulkadir Yasir Bahar, Seda Keskin Gokmen, Erhan Kaya, Ummu Gulsum Sarac, Merve Turanciftci
PMID
42667315
DOI
10.1007/s00428-026-04706-9

Why clinicians should know about it

Abstract

Categorizing HER2-negative invasive breast carcinomas into low, ultralow, and null tiers continues to challenge diagnostic reproducibility, largely due to spatial heterogeneity. This study evaluated inter-pathologist agreement and spatial intratumoral concordance across multi-site specimens using a highest-tier approach in treatment-naive invasive breast carcinomas (IBC). This retrospective study analyzed 125 primary IBC excisions (evaluated via two separate topographical blocks), 78 matched core needle biopsies, and 58 lymph node metastases (LNM). Two blinded pathologists independently reviewed slides stained with Ventana 4B5. Multi-block discrepancies were managed via a highest-tier approach (null < ultralow < low). Inter-pathologist reproducibility was substantial across all specimen types (weighted Kappa: 0.697-0.744, p < 0.001). Intra-tumor block agreement was moderate (Kappa = 0.580). The final highest-tier excision status yielded substantial concordance with core biopsies (Kappa = 0.773) but moderate concordance with LNM (Kappa = 0.486), primarily due to expression downgrading in nodal metastases (15/22 ultralow primary cases reverted to null). Pooling ultralow/low cases revealed a significant association with Grade 3 tumors (p = 0.049). HER2 status showed no independent correlation with overall survival (p > 0.05). Diagnostic discrepancies in minimal HER2 expression result from a combination of intrinsic spatial heterogeneity and the subjective challenges of inter-observer interpretation. Evaluating a second tumor block, combined with confirmation by a second pathologist for HER2-ultralow cases, effectively compensates for this variation, improving diagnostic consistency and the selection of candidates for novel targeted therapies.

Abstract as published, via PubMed.

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For healthcare professionals. The summary is generated by AI from the published abstract, and the evidence level is assigned automatically from the study design on the Oxford CEBM hierarchy. Neither is medical advice. Read the full paper before changing practice.