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The impact of menopausal status on the efficacy of adjuvant CDK4/6 inhibitors in hormone receptor-positive early breast cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis of phase III clinical trials

In brief

Adjuvant CDK4/6 inhibitors lower recurrence risk by roughly 20% in both pre- and post-menopausal patients

A meta-analysis of four phase-III trials (17,748 women) found invasive disease-free survival improved about 20% with CDK4/6 inhibitors in both pre-/peri-menopausal (HR 0.80) and postmenopausal (HR 0.79) groups, with no significant difference between them. Overall survival showed no clear benefit, and greater outcome variability in pre-menopausal women suggests endocrine-therapy differences may still matter.

Journal
Breast cancer research and treatment (Q1)
Published
13 August 2026
Study design
Systematic review / meta-analysis of RCTs
Evidence level
Level 1, High (CEBM 1a)
Authors
Uri Bender, Karine Ronan, Amal Aljuhani, Jacqueline Savill, Eitan Amir
PMID
42593586
DOI
10.1007/s10549-026-08056-7

Why clinicians should know about it

  • Picked for Breast and Endocrine Surgery (top studies of the week, 16 August 2026): Meta‑analysis of adjuvant CDK4/6 inhibitors in early breast cancer
  • Picked for Dermatology (top studies of the week, 16 August 2026): Menopausal status on adjuvant CDK4/6 inhibitors in breast cancer
  • Picked for Oncology and Radiation Oncology (top studies of the week, 16 August 2026): Menopausal status does not affect adjuvant CDK4/6 inhibitor efficacy

Abstract

PURPOSE: Adjuvant cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6 inhibitors (CDK4/6i) improve outcomes in hormone receptor-positive (HR+), HER2-negative early breast cancer, though trial results have been heterogeneous. Menopausal status and endocrine therapy backbone may contribute to variability in treatment effect. We performed a meta-analysis evaluating whether menopausal status influences the efficacy of adjuvant CDK 4/6 inhibition. METHODS: A systematic review of phase III randomized trials evaluating adjuvant CDK4/6i in HR+/HER2- early-stage breast cancer was conducted. Trial-level hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for iDFS and OS were extracted separately for pre-/peri-menopausal and postmenopausal subgroups. HRs were pooled using random-effects modelling (DerSimonian-Laird method) with inverse-variance modeling. Heterogeneity was assessed using I² statistics. A sensitivity analysis limited to approved CDK4/6i (ribociclib and abemaciclib) was performed. RESULTS: Four trials comprising 17,748 participants were included, of whom 45% were pre-/peri-menopausal and 55% were postmenopausal. Pooled iDFS HRs were 0.80 (95% CI 0.67-0.97, I²=64%) in pre-/peri-menopausal patients and 0.79 (95% CI 0.72-0.86, I²=0%) in postmenopausal patients. Pooled OS HRs were 1.02 (95% CI 0.67-1.54, I²=80%) in pre-/peri-menopausal and 0.89 (95% CI 0.78-1.03, I²=0%) in postmenopausal patients. No significant subgroup differences were observed for iDFS or OS. Compared to post-menopausal participants, those who were premenopausal had 3.0% fewer absolute iDFS events at 5-6 years. Sensitivity analyses yielded consistent findings. CONCLUSIONS: Efficacy of adjuvant CDK4/6 inhibition in HR+/HER2-negative early breast cancer does not appear to be influenced by menopausal status as defined in individual trials. Greater heterogeneity among pre-/peri-menopausal patients may reflect differences in endocrine therapy backbone, tumor characteristics and patient risk. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Not applicable.

Abstract as published, via PubMed.

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For healthcare professionals. The summary is generated by AI from the published abstract, and the evidence level is assigned automatically from the study design on the Oxford CEBM hierarchy. Neither is medical advice. Read the full paper before changing practice.